MINNEAPOLIS (WCCO) — An updated model from the University of Minnesota and state’s health department is predicting that COVID-19 cases will peak in late-July with 25,000 deaths possible — if the stay-at-home order is extended until the end of May.
The model, which was updated on April 28, estimates outcomes for multiple scenarios. Scenario 5 was recently added to those estimates.READ MORE: Twin Metals To Appeal Federal Decision On Proposed Copper-Nickel Mine Near Boundary Waters
In Scenario 5, the stay-at-home order is extended for all until the end of May. With that happening, the model predicts that the COVID-19 peak will happen on July 27, with the top intensive care units (ICU) demand being 4,000 and 25,000 possible deaths.
Another estimate, Scenario 4, predicts that if the stay-at-home order is extended by a month into mid-July, the peak would occur on July 13 with 3,700 as the top ICU demand and 22,000 possible deaths.
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In previous briefings, Gov. Tim Walz has asked Minnesotans not to focus on specific numbers, but rather focus on when the peaks might occur.
“Modeling was never meant to provide a number,” Governor Walz said on Wednesday. “It was meant to show trend and direction, that if you social distance you buy more time.”
A third model is expected to be released later this week, MDH officials said Monday afternoon.4 Puppies Left At Chaska Golf Course; Police Seeking Information
As of now, Gov. Tim Walz’s stay-at-home order expires on May 18.